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Item Association between Urinary Phytoestrogens and C-reactive Protein in the Continuous National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey(Taylor & Francis, 2017) Reger, Michael K.; Zollinger, Terrell W.; Liu, Ziyue; Jones, Josette; Zhang, Jianjun; Epidemiology, School of Public HealthObjective: A reduced risk of some cancers and cardiovascular disease associated with phytoestrogen intake may be mediated through its effect on serum C-reactive protein (CRP; an inflammation biomarker). Therefore, this study examined the associations between urinary phytoestrogens and serum CRP. Methods: Urinary phytoestrogen and serum CRP data obtained from 6009 participants aged ≥ 40 years in the continuous National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey during 1999–2010 were analyzed. Results: After adjustment for confounders, urinary concentrations of total and all individual phytoestrogens were inversely associated with serum concentrations of CRP (all p < 0.004). The largest reductions in serum CRP (mg/L) per interquartile range increase in urinary phytoestrogens (ng/mL) were observed for total phytoestrogens (β = −0.18; 95% confidence interval [CI], −0.22, −0.15), total lignan (β = −0.15; 95% CI, −0.18, −0.12), and enterolactone (β = −0.15; 95% CI, −0.19, −0.12). A decreased risk of having high CRP concentrations (≥3.0 mg/L) for quartile 4 vs quartile 1 was also found for total phytoestrogens (OR = 0.63; 95% CI, 0.53, 0.73), total lignan (OR = 0.64; 95% CI, 0.54, 0.75), and enterolactone (OR = 0.59; 95% CI, 0.51, 0.69). Conclusion: Urinary total and individual phytoestrogens were significantly inversely associated with serum CRP in a nationally representative sample of the U.S. population.Item Bayesian design and analysis of cluster randomized trials(2017-08-07) Xiao, Shan; Tu, Wanzhu; Liu, ZiyueCluster randomization is frequently used in clinical trials for convenience of inter ventional implementation and for reducing the risk of contamination. The opera tional convenience of cluster randomized trials, however, is gained at the expense of reduced analytical power. Compared to individually randomized studies, cluster randomized trials often have a much-reduced power. In this dissertation, I consider ways of enhancing analytical power with historical trial data. Specifically, I introduce a hierarchical Bayesian model that is designed to incorporate available information from previous trials of the same or similar interventions. Operationally, the amount of information gained from the previous trials is determined by a Kullback-Leibler divergence measure that quantifies the similarity, or lack thereof, between the histor ical and current trial data. More weight is given to the historical data if they more closely resemble the current trial data. Along this line, I examine the Type I error rates and analytical power associated with the proposed method, in comparison with the existing methods without utilizing the ancillary historical information. Similarly, to design a cluster randomized trial, one could estimate the power by simulating trial data and comparing them with the historical data from the published studies. Data analytical and power simulation methods are developed for more general situations of cluster randomized trials, with multiple arms and multiple types of data following the exponential family of distributions. An R package is developed for practical use of the methods in data analysis and trial design.Item Brief report: Endothelial colony-forming cells and inflammatory monocytes in HIV(Ovid Technologies (Wolters Kluwer) - Lippincott Williams & Wilkins, 2015-04-15) Hays, Travis R.; Mund, Julie A.; Liu, Ziyue; Case, Jamie; Ingram, David A.; Gupta, Samir K.; Department of Medicine, IU School of MedicineThe relationships between HIV infection, monocyte activation, and endothelial colony-forming cells (ECFCs) are unknown. We compared ECFC, intermediate monocytes (CD14 CD16), and nonclassical monocytes (CD14 CD16) levels in HIV-infected participants virologically suppressed on antiretroviral therapy, HIV-infected treatment-naive participants, and HIV-uninfected healthy controls. ECFC levels were significantly higher in the HIV-infected virologically suppressed group compared with the uninfected controls. CD14 CD16 percentages (but not CD14 CD16 cells) were significantly higher in both HIV-infected groups vs. uninfected controls. In the HIV-infected groups, ECFCs and CD14 CD16 intermediate monocytes were significantly and inversely correlated. Lower availability of ECFCs may partly explain the relationship between greater intermediate monocytes and atherosclerosis in HIV.Item Casual analysis using two-part models : a general framework for specification, estimation and inference(2018-06-22) Hao, Zhuang; Terza, Joseph V.; Devaraj, Srikant; Liu, Ziyue; Mak, Henry; Ottoni-Wilhelm, MarkThe two-part model (2PM) is the most widely applied modeling and estimation framework in empirical health economics. By design, the two-part model allows the process governing observation at zero to systematically differ from that which determines non-zero observations. The former is commonly referred to as the extensive margin (EM) and the latter is called the intensive margin (IM). The analytic focus of my dissertation is on the development of a general framework for specifying, estimating and drawing inference regarding causally interpretable (CI) effect parameters in the 2PM context. Our proposed fully parametric 2PM (FP2PM) framework comprises very flexible versions of the EM and IM for both continuous and count-valued outcome models and encompasses all implementations of the 2PM found in the literature. Because our modeling approach is potential outcomes (PO) based, it provides a context for clear definition of targeted counterfactual CI parameters of interest. This PO basis also provides a context for identifying the conditions under which such parameters can be consistently estimated using the observable data (via the appropriately specified data generating process). These conditions also ensure that the estimation results are CI. There is substantial literature on statistical testing for model selection in the 2PM context, yet there has been virtually no attention paid to testing the “one-part” null hypothesis. Within our general modeling and estimation framework, we devise a relatively simple test of that null for both continuous and count-valued outcomes. We illustrate our proposed model, method and testing protocol in the context of estimating price effects on the demand for alcohol.Item Circulating Leptin and Branched Chain Amino Acids – Correlation with Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasm Dysplastic Grade(Springer Verlag, 2019-05) Yip-Schneider, Michele T.; Simpson, Rachel; Carr, Rosalie A.; Wu, Huangbing; Fan, Hao; Liu, Ziyue; Korc, Murray; Zhang, Jianjun; Schmidt, C. Max; Surgery, School of MedicineBackground: The most common type of mucinous pancreatic cyst that may progress to pancreatic cancer is intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN). Low-risk IPMN with low-/moderate-grade dysplasia may be safely watched, whereas high-risk IPMN with high-grade dysplasia or invasive components should undergo resection. However, there is currently no reliable means of making this distinction. We hypothesize that blood concentrations of insulin resistance biomarkers may aid in the differentiation of low- and high-risk IPMN. Methods: Plasma/serum was collected from consented patients undergoing pancreatic resection. IPMN diagnosis and dysplastic grade were confirmed by surgical pathology. The study included 235 IPMN (166 low/moderate grade, 39 high grade, 30 invasive). Circulating levels of leptin, branched chain amino acids (BCAA), and retinol-binding protein-4 (RBP-4) were measured by enzyme-linked immunoassay and correlated with surgical pathology. Results: Circulating leptin levels (mean ± SE) were significantly higher in patients with low/moderate IPMN than in high-grade/invasive IPMN (15,803 ± 1686 vs. 10,275 ± 1228 pg/ml; p = 0.0086). Leptin levels were positively correlated with BMI (r = 0.65, p < 0.0001) and were higher in females (p < 0.0001). Stratified analysis showed that mean leptin levels were significantly different between low/moderate and high/invasive IPMNs only in females (24,383 ± 2748 vs. 16,295 ± 2040 pg/ml; p = 0.020). Conversely, circulating BCAA levels were lower in low/moderate IPMN than in high-grade/invasive IPMN (0.38 ± 0.007 vs. 0.42 ± 0.01 mM; p = 0.011). No significant differences in RBP-4 levels were observed. Conclusions: Circulating leptin in females and BCAA correlates with IPMN dysplastic grade and, if combined with clinical characteristics, have the potential to improve clinical decision-making.Item Circulating Thrombospondin-2 enhances prediction of malignant intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm(Elsevier, 2018) Simpson, Rachel E.; Yip-Schneider, Michele T.; Wu, Huangbing; Fan, Hao; Liu, Ziyue; Korc, Murray; Zhang, Jianjun; Schmidt, C. Max; Surgery, School of MedicineBackground IPMNs are cystic pancreatic lesions with variable malignant potential. Thrombospondin-2 (THBS2)—an endogenous, anti-angiogenic matrix glycoprotein—may modulate tumor progression. We hypothesized that circulating levels of THBS2 could aid in preoperative prediction of malignant IPMN. Methods Preoperative serum/plasma samples were procured from patients undergoing surgery. Circulating levels of THBS2 were measured (enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay) and compared to surgical pathology IPMN dysplastic grade. Results 164 patients underwent THBS2 testing (100 Low/Moderate-IPMN; 64 High-Grade/Invasive-IPMN). Circulating THBS2 (mean ± SD) was greater in High-Grade/Invasive-IPMN than Low/Moderate-grade IPMN (26.6 ± 12.7 ng/mL vs. 20.4 ± 8.2 ng/mL; P < 0.001). THBS2 (AUC = 0.65) out-performed CA19-9 (n = 144; AUC = 0.59) in predicting IPMN grade. The combination of THBS2, CA19-9, radiographic main-duct involvement, main-duct diameter, age, sex, and BMI (AUC 0.82; n = 137) provided a good prediction model for IPMN grade. Conclusion Circulating THBS2 is correlated with IPMN dysplasia grade. THBS2 alone did not strongly predict IPMN grade but rather strengthened prediction models for High-Grade/Invasive IPMN when combined with other clinical/biomarker data.Item Dietary intake and urinary excretion of phytoestrogens in relation to cancer and cardiovascular disease(2014) Reger, Michael Kent; Zollinger, Terrell; Jones, Josette F.; Liu, Ziyue; Zhang, JianjunPhytoestrogens that abound in soy products, legumes, and chickpeas can induce biologic responses in animals and humans due to structural similarity to 17β-estradiol. Although experimental studies suggest that phytoestrogen intake may alter the risk of cancer and cardiovascular disease, few epidemiologic studies have investigated this research question. This dissertation investigated the associations of intake of total and individual phytoestrogens and their urinary biomarkers with these chronic conditions using data previously collected from two US national cohort studies (NHANES and PLCO). Utilizing NHANES data with urinary phytoestrogen concentrations and follow-up mortality, Cox proportional hazards regression (HR; 95% CI) were performed to evaluate the association between total cancer, cardiovascular disease, and all-cause mortality and urinary phytoestrogens. After adjustment for confounders, it was found that higher concentrations of lignans were associated with a reduced risk of death from cardiovascular disease (0.48; 0.24-0.97), whereas higher concentrations of isoflavones (2.14; 1.03-4.47) and daidzein (2.05; 1.02-4.11) were associated with an increased risk. A reduction in all-cause mortality was observed for elevated concentrations of lignans (0.65; 0.43-0.96) and enterolactone (0.65; 0.44-0.97). Utilizing PLCO data and dietary phytoestrogens, Cox proportional hazards regression examined the associations between dietary phytoestrogens and the risk of prostate cancer incidence. After adjustment for confounders, a positive association was found between dietary intake of isoflavones (1.58; 1.11-2.24), genistein (1.42; 1.02-1.98), daidzein (1.62; 1.13-2.32), and glycitein (1.53; 1.09-2.15) and the risk of advanced prostate cancer. Conversely, an inverse association existed between dietary intake of genistein and the risk of non-advanced prostate cancer (0.88; 0.78-0.99) and total prostate cancer (0.90; 0.81-1.00). C-reactive protein (CRP) concentration levels rise in response to inflammation and higher levels are a risk factor for some cancers and cardiovascular disease reported in epidemiologic studies. Logistic regression performed on NHANES data evaluated the association between CRP and urinary phytoestrogen concentrations. Higher concentrations of total and individual phytoestrogens were associated with lower concentrations of CRP. In summary, dietary intake of some phytoestrogens significantly modulates prostate cancer risk and cardiovascular disease mortality. It is possible that these associations may be in part mediated through the influence of phytoestrogen intake on circulating levels of C-reactive protein.Item Dietary intake of isoflavones and coumestrol and the risk of prostate cancer in the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal and Ovarian Cancer Screening Trial(Wiley, 2018-02) Reger, Michael K.; Zollinger, Terrell W.; Liu, Ziyue; Jones, Josette F.; Zhang, Jianjun; Epidemiology, School of Public HealthExperimental studies have revealed that phytoestrogens may modulate the risk of certain sites of cancer due to their structural similarity to 17β‐estradiol. The present study investigates whether intake of these compounds may influence prostate cancer risk in human populations. During a median follow up of 11.5 years, 2,598 cases of prostate cancer (including 287 advanced cases) have been identified among 27,004 men in the intervention arm of the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal and Ovarian Cancer Screening Trial. Dietary intake of phytoestrogens (excluding lignans) was assessed with a food frequency questionnaire. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was performed to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for dietary isoflavones and coumestrol in relation to prostate cancer risk. After adjustment for confounders, an increased risk of advanced prostate cancer [HR (95% CI) for quintile (Q) 5 vs. Q1] was found for the dietary intake of total isoflavones [1.91 (1.25–2.92)], genistein [1.51 (1.02–2.22), daidzein [1.80 (1.18–2.75) and glycitein [1.67 (1.15–2.43)] (p‐trend for all associations ≤0.05). For example, HR (95% CI) for comparing the Q2, Q3, Q4 and Q5 with Q1 of daidzein intake was 1.45 (0.93–2.25), 1.65 (1.07–2.54), 1.73 (1.13–2.66) and 1.80 (1.18–2.75), respectively (p‐trend: 0.013). No statistically significant associations were observed between the intake of total isoflavones and individual phytoestrogens and non‐advanced and total prostate cancer after adjustment for confounders. This study revealed that dietary intake of isoflavones was associated with an elevated risk of advanced prostate cancer.Item Duration-dependent effects of clinically relevant oral alendronate doses on cortical bone toughness in beagle dogs(Bone, 2014-10-23) Burr, David B.; Liu, Ziyue; Allen, Matthew R.Bisphosphonates (BPs) have been shown to significantly reduce bone toughness in vertebrae within one year when given at clinical doses to dogs. Although BPs also reduce toughness in the cortical bone when given at high doses, their effect on cortical bone material properties when given at clinical doses is less clear. In part, this may be due to the use of small sample sizes that were powered to demonstrate differences in bone mineral density rather than the bone's material properties. Our lab has conducted several studies in which dogs were treated with alendronate at a clinically relevant dose. The goal of this study was to examine these published and unpublished data collectively to determine whether there is a significant time-dependent effect of alendronate on toughness of the cortical bone. This analysis seemed particularly relevant given the recent occurrence of atypical femoral fractures in humans. Differences in the toughness of ribs taken from dogs derived from five separate experiments were measured. The dogs were orally administered saline (CON, 1ml/kg/day) or alendronate (ALN) at a clinical dose (0.2mg/kg/day). Treatment duration ranged from 3months to 3years. Groups were compared using ANOVA, and time trends analyzed with linear regression analysis. Linear regressions of the percent difference in toughness between CON and ALN at each time point revealed a significant reduction in toughness with longer exposure to ALN. The downward trend was primarily driven by a downward trend in post-yield toughness, whereas toughness in the pre-yield region was not changed relative to CON. These data suggest that a longer duration of treatment with clinical doses of ALN results in deterioration of cortical bone toughness in a time-dependent manner. As the duration of treatment is lengthened, the cortical bone exhibits increasingly brittle behavior. This may be important in assessing the role that long-term BP treatments play in the risk of atypical fractures of the femoral cortical bone in humans.Item Effect of Carbon Dioxide on the Twinkling Artifact in Ultrasound Imaging of Kidney Stones: A Pilot Study(Elsevier, 2017-05) Simon, Julianna C.; Wang, Yak-Nam; Cunitz, Bryan W.; Thiel, Jeffrey; Starr, Frank; Liu, Ziyue; Bailey, Michael R.; Biostatistics, School of Public HealthBone demineralization, dehydration and stasis put astronauts at increased risk of forming kidney stones in space. The color-Doppler ultrasound "twinkling artifact," which highlights kidney stones with color, can make stones readily detectable with ultrasound; however, our previous results suggest twinkling is caused by microbubbles on the stone surface which could be affected by the elevated levels of carbon dioxide found on space vehicles. Four pigs were implanted with kidney stones and imaged with ultrasound while the anesthetic carrier gas oscillated between oxygen and air containing 0.8% carbon dioxide. On exposure of the pigs to 0.8% carbon dioxide, twinkling was significantly reduced after 9-25 min and recovered when the carrier gas returned to oxygen. These trends repeated when pigs were again exposed to 0.8% carbon dioxide followed by oxygen. The reduction of twinkling caused by exposure to elevated carbon dioxide may make kidney stone detection with twinkling difficult in current space vehicles.